SVM在空中目标威胁值评估中的应用

构建了基于回归型支持向量机的空中目标威胁值评估模型,确定了基于粗糙集理论的空中目标威胁因素,并建立了数据离散化、归一化的标准。将常用的4种核函数应用于对空中目标威胁值的估计,并通过基于网格法和遗传算法的搜索方法找到模型的最优参数。最后通过Matlab对算例进行了仿真验证。     

基于改进支持向量回归机的火炮身管寿命预测

为准确预测火炮身管寿命终止时火炮射弹数,根据射击过程中火炮身管磨损量与身管寿命特性,分析了身管膛线起始部磨损量与身管射弹数之间的关系,提出了支持向量回归机算法,并采用遗传算法进行模型优化改进,得到火炮身管寿命预测最优模型。结合两种类型火炮的身管数据,利用该模型对身管寿命进行预测,并与原始支持向量回归机进行对比,通过分析可知改进的支持向量回归机预测效果好、精度高,为火炮在实际应用中身管的寿命预测提供了新的思路。     

基于动态贝叶斯网络的复杂网络抗毁性分析

复杂网络抗毁性是复杂网络在节点或边遇敌攻击后能继续维持基本功能的能力,是衡量军事信息网络鲁棒性和敏捷性的重要指标。针对复杂网络及对作战体系支撑能力的多指标、复杂化和动态演绎特点,在静态分析方法基础上,提出基于动态贝叶斯网络的抗毁性分析方法。建立了复杂网络抗毁性指标体系。构建了基于动态贝叶斯网络的复杂网络抗毁性评估模型,提出确定评估模型参数的方法。仿真验证了方法的可行性和有效性。     

航空弹药供应保障存在的问题及对策

在现代高技术信息化战争中,航空弹药地位和作用日渐突出。在分析了信息化条件下现代战争对航空弹药供应保障提出的新需求基础上,指出了航空弹药供应保障存在的不足,并从航空弹药的储备、管理和供应三个方面分别提出了相应的对策。研究表明,着眼应急作战的实际需要,搞好航空弹药供应保障,提高应急作战弹药供应保障能力,是摆在面前的一个现实而又紧迫的任务。     

Military deployment and international terrorism: do location and mission type matter?

Extant literature documents a relationship between military deployment and the risk of an international terrorist attack against citizens of the deploying country. It appears that deployment significantly increases the possibility of terrorist actions in the home country. In particular, if country A decides to send troops to nation B, then citizens of the former country are more likely to fall victim of an attack carried out by a terrorist organisation originating from the latter country. Contributing to this line of literature, we further refine this relationship by distinguishing between regions where the troops are sent as well as by introducing differences between types of deployment. Our results indicate that missions to Asia and the Middle East are more dangerous than missions to other regions as reflected by the terrorist threat in the home country. Robustness tests do however show that the significance of the location variable Asia is predominantly attributed to the mission to Afghanistan. As for types of deployment, only ad hoc missions seem to increase the risk of an attack, whereas no significant results are found for other missions such as operations under UN and NATO flag. Leaving out the missions to Iraq and Afghanistan however also increases the danger resulting from missions by fixed coalitions. Our results find however no evidence that ‘wearing a blue helmet’ increases the probability of a terrorist attack at home.     

Terrorist choice: a stochastic dominance and prospect theory analysis

The paper explores terrorist choice by applying two well-known theoretical frameworks: stochastic dominance and prospect theory (PT). We analyse each pair of attack methods that can be formed from the RAND-MIPT database and the Global Terrorism Database. Instances of stochastic dominance are identified. PT orderings are computed. Attention is accorded to the identification of ‘trigger points’ and the circumstances that may lead to an increased likelihood that a terrorist will select an attack method associated with a higher expected number of fatalities, i.e. a potentially more damaging attack method.     

后勤物资消耗测算系统设计需求分析

针对当前后勤物资消耗测算方法过于简单粗略的问题,以构建有效的后勤物资消耗测算系统为目的,对系统的设计进行了需求分析。介绍了后勤物资消耗测算的基本流程以及关键理论,研究了后勤物资消耗测算系统的用户特点以及应用流程,着重对系统的功能需求进行了分析,确定了系统各主要功能的相关内容,并按照功能需求确定了系统的组成结构和接口关系,为系统的设计和实现奠定了基础。     

圆周SAR与线性SAR成像特性分析与对比

圆周合成孔径雷达因其独特优势已经成为雷达领域的研究热点。分析圆周合成孔径雷达与线性合成孔径雷达在成像区域大小、点散布函数特性、回波频谱特点、三维成像能力等方面的差异,凸显了圆周合成孔径雷达的成像特点。发现单航过圆周合成孔径雷达频域成像处理的难点在于其回波频谱的空变性。为提高频域成像处理的效率,分析了平面圆周合成孔径雷达与多航过圆周合成孔径雷达成像模式,并指出这两种模式易于在频域开展一致化处理。仿真试验证明了分析内容的正确性。     

单像自标定的迭代优化方法

针对基于灭点的单像自标定方法精度不高的局限性,利用影像中的灭点和椭圆几何约束信息,提出一种迭代优化的单像自标定方法。根据极点-极线关系及其表示的正交性,由影像中的椭圆曲线及其所在平面的灭线确定一组正交共轭灭点对。利用这些正交共轭灭点对建立关于主距和主点的非线性模型,以主距的方差最小作为优化准则,并选用多个位置作为主点的初始值进行多次迭代优化估计,获得主距和主点的最优结果。仿真影像和真实影像实验结果表明,该方法能够有效地实现单像自标定。与基于灭点的摄像机标定方法相比,该方法能够获得更为满意的标定结果。     

数字图像复数不变矩构造及稳定性分析

为系统性地给出数字图像不变矩一般性构造方法及对不变矩稳定性进行分析,通过采用复数矩作为描述数字图像识别特征量的方法,研究了复数不变矩所具有不变性的约束条件及其与几何不变矩间的关系,推导出了复数不变矩构造定理,并以在工程应用中的低阶复数不变矩为例对复数不变矩的稳定性进行了分析。研究结果表明:采用复数不变矩构造数字图像特征量具有很好普适性和稳定性,对于图像目标识别特征的描述有较好的效果。